* Germany Election Results: Merkel Stunned! Despite the hollow victory, the result was disastrous for Angela Merkel, BBC Berlin correspondent Jenny Hill says. German media characterized the results of Sunday’s vote as a major shift.
It was the worst result for the alliance between the Christian Democrat (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) since 1949, when national elections were held in Germany for the first time after World War Two. Emmanuel Macron and Chancellor Merkel can forget about any meaningful eurozone reforms. The EU Core has been weakened.
– Merkel’s conservative CDU/CSU bloc realized its worst result in almost 70 years. The chancellor was punished for opening Germany’s border to almost 900,000 migrants, mostly aggressive males, from violent regions.
– Its current coalition partner, the social democratic SPD, says it will go into opposition after historic losses – its worst showing ever. Martin Schulz campaigned on a pro-migration platform and centered his campaign around attacking Hungary’s Viktor Orban. In the end, Schulz’s message was rejected and his party was embarrassed.
– It was a stunning success for the anti-migrant AfD, which sent a clear message to Berlin and Brussels. The AfD won its first seats and is set to become the third largest party, stunning the leaders of Germany with 13% of the vote. The AfD is expected to hold some 87 seats in parliament.
** We knew Merkel would prevail but were pleasantly surprised by her declining support (down 20% since 2013) and the AfD’s strong results. The EU loyalists and advocates of mass migration are scrambling to explain the results, but even they are conceding that this was a disaster for Merkel, Macron and Brussels.
This election was just the tip of the iceberg. The leaders of Berlin and Brussels should prepare themselves for a much bigger earthquake from Austria on October 15th…. Sebastian Kurz and the Freedom Party. This will be a “game-changer” and will further diminish the influence of Merkel and Macron in Central Europe.
Suddenly, the momentum has changed and Merkel, while still in power, has been weakened. She will lose more credibility and influence after the results in Austria. It’s a long and tough battle, but the determination of Viktor Orban and the V4 has begun to turn the tide.
However, look for Merkel and her coalition partners in Germany to try to win back voters by attacking Hungary, Poland and the V4 over their opposition to migrant quotas. Many Germans still believe the migrants must be “fairly” distributed across the bloc. Merkel will now put pressure on Brussels to punish states who are unwilling to embrace “EU solidarity” on migration.
We also feel both Berlin and Brussels will increase their aggressive tactics against Hungary and Poland in an attempt to reestablish their control over the nation states. When a desperate regime fails to win the hearts and minds of the people, it increasingly turns to threats, sanctions and blackmail in an effort to keep control.
Visegrad will answer their challenge.
Onward V4! Stay strong and united.