Italy: Salvini, Lega imploding. Is Draghi swallowing both whole?
The current situation in Italy regarding Lega has to be one the biggest disappointments for national conservatives. We did not see this coming.
– Salvini clings to Draghi: “On taxes, he gives reason to the League”. But the premier says something else. And on the green pass, it is clear: “Instrument of freedom”.
* The constant spin from Salvini over the last several months is difficult to understand and has called into question his reliability in the future. At this point, he is all over the map and we have no idea what he is trying to accomplish. One gets the feeling that he is lost as well, trying to be something he is not.
He is getting terrible advice.
Lega, trying to redefine itself into a moderate, pro-EU party, finds itself struggling with its identity.
It’s hard to try to ‘out EU’ the left. Since its peak in 2019, Lega has fallen dramatically in the polls, by almost 45%.
Some Lega and EU insiders somehow convinced Salvini – who at first resisted the idea of joining the Draghi government – that he could rule Italy by undergoing a political transformation to moderate the center-right (EPP-style), while eventually isolating Giorgia Meloni and the Brothers of Italy.
Instead, Salvini is losing credibility and putting the future of the center-right coalition at risk.
** Even on migration, while Salvini has finally started to criticize the landings again after a period of silence, he still refuses to openly criticize Master Draghi, who has allowed Italy to be flooded while Lega remains part of this government. It is if they have no influence, and are being used as ‘political trophies’ by Draghi.
Instead, Salvini only targets the pro-migration Interior Minister, who Draghi himself appointed. Why not call Draghi out by challenging him to terminate his interior minister or to lose the support of Lega?
This alone will not end the Draghi government but would send a powerful message regarding the future.
Unfortunately, Salvini has become the controlled opposition, just like Horst Seehofer and the CSU in Germany.
*** We are still trying to figure out where Salvini and Lega really stand on this draconian green pass, which seems to imply that one must be vaccinated to work. It was supported by 69 of 132 Lega MPs, while 51 Lega MPs refused to vote altogether, and 12 were absent.
The vote took place a day after Lega MEP Francesca Donato left the party, citing the decree as the final straw.
**** At one point, the V4 Report was optimistic about the center-right coalition in Italy, believing that it was only a matter of time (the next election cycle) before this became a reality.
We are no longer confident that this will happen, especially regarding our total lack of trust with Forza (EPP) and some Lega insiders themselves, who seem to want to distance the party from Meloni’s Fdl.
This would be a huge mistake, but Lega has made plenty of miscalculations of late.
Lega did not rise to national prominence as a moderate, pro-EU party. Why is it trying to reinvent itself to appease Draghi and the EU establishment?
This never works out well and it is a losing strategy that plays right into the hands of Brussels.
Salvini needs to escape from this trap and stop taking bad advice from others inside his party.
Instead he needs to visit Budapest to seek the wise advice of Viktor Orban to regain some sense of reality and purpose.
The future of Italy is too important to squander over overgrown egos, or party insiders desperate to be accepted by the establishment of Brussels.