Interesting: Orban says he wants to form a party with Salvini (Italy) and Morawiecki (Poland).
But Matteo Salvini, whose party is backing Mario Draghi’s (the super EU God) so-called united coalition government, said talks with Orban were not a priority at the moment.
“I am dealing in a highly concrete way with (COVID-19) vaccines and reimbursements (for lost revenue) to Italian firms,” Salvini told reporters when asked about what Orban had said. “We’ll talk about what happens in Europe further down the line. What is urgent for me is the vaccines, reimbursements, and the health of the Italian people, nothing else”.
First, we do not believe this party can exclude Meloni of Fdl (there were rumors that Salvini would demand this, but we cannot confirm this and it came from a pro-migration source).
Secondly, we believe Salvini is getting heavy pressure from Lega officials to keep his distance from Orban and national conservatives. How this is related to his upcoming trial in Italy is unknown, but Lega officials may be may planning to embrace the establishment if Salvini is unjustly convicted in this show trial.
However, the V4 Report still believes the 2019 EU Summit was a disaster and missed opportunity for the right. Salvini and his party were at the height of popularity and dominated the EU elections, but were blackballed at the EU Summit when others were making deals with his rival Macron and the establishment parties (EPP, Socialists, Renew Europe) to install Ursula von der Leyen as EU Commission president and open-border activist David Sassoli (another Salvini rival in Italy) as EU Parliament president.
We believed this was a huge political miscalculation and strategic error…and we still do, so the recent exit of the EPP Party is a great step in the right direction.
While we still believe this coalition is very possible, one has to take advantage of opportunities when they are available (as we thought in 2019) before they quickly disappear.
We do not know what Salvini is thinking today, just as we were mystified at Visegrad’s thinking in 2019. One cannot make deals with Macron and the establishment; this never works out and one will always get burned in the end. Salvini should remember this, just as Poland and Hungary can be thankful for Vera Jourova (a gift from Macron and Babis at Renew Europe).
At this point, there are many unclear issues with Salvini. Orban should concentrate on strengthening and expanding the scope of the ECR Group with the PiS of Poland, Meloni, and VOX. Orban is strong and the one leader who can enlarge this base, while working to rehabilitate Salvini in the long term.